Why is US politics "so mad"?

Why is US politics "so mad"?

Released Friday, 13th September 2024
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Why is US politics "so mad"?

Why is US politics "so mad"?

Why is US politics "so mad"?

Why is US politics "so mad"?

Friday, 13th September 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Unlimited slows. The

1:00

New Statesman. Hello,

1:05

I'm Hannah Barnes and you're listening

1:07

to the New Statesman podcast. This

1:09

is You Ask Us, our weekly episode

1:12

where every Friday we do our very

1:14

best to answer as many listener questions

1:16

as we can. Thank you

1:18

very much to everyone who has submitted

1:20

questions for this episode. We

1:23

are heading into party conference

1:25

season and we are planning to record a

1:27

You Ask Us conference special next week. So

1:30

please, here is your chance to ask us

1:32

anything you have ever wanted to know about

1:34

party conferences and of course,

1:36

these upcoming conferences in particular. As

1:38

ever, please send your questions via

1:40

the web link in the episode

1:42

description or you can just leave

1:44

a comment on Spotify or YouTube.

1:47

But to go through today's picks, I am

1:49

joined in the studio by the New Statesman's

1:51

associate political editor, Rachel Cunliffe. Hello.

1:55

And down the line

1:57

from Washington, D.C. by our

1:59

U.S. correspondent. Freddie Heywood.

2:01

Hello. Settling in all right? I

2:04

asked you that yesterday but just for Rachel's benefit. Yeah,

2:06

if I miss you over here. Speak

2:08

for yourself. Okay, on to the first

2:10

question. Rachel, I'm gonna ask you this

2:12

one and this is from Fan and

2:15

they ask, is making tough choices

2:18

in and of itself an ideological

2:20

objective of this version of the

2:22

Labour Party more important than any

2:25

specific policy goal? So,

2:27

I think this is a really interesting question because

2:29

even framing it in that way, so

2:31

something about the way Labour is being

2:33

perceived just a couple of months after

2:36

winning the election. I don't think if

2:38

you're a government that's been in

2:40

power for two months, you want

2:42

people to be questioning

2:44

whether you're more interested in

2:47

looking like you are, quote unquote,

2:49

making tough choices than actually achieving

2:52

concrete policy goals. And

2:54

actually, I think what

2:56

Keir Starmer would like us to be thinking

2:58

about his government is that it's not about

3:01

projecting anything, it's about

3:03

being really pragmatic and it's

3:05

not about ideology, it's not about being

3:07

from the left or the centre-left, it's

3:10

about making things better and making

3:12

things work. That's the projection that

3:14

he would like. But the

3:17

impression that his government has given us is

3:20

basically that that's their default line in response

3:22

to things making tough choices. And obviously, we've

3:25

talked a lot this week about withdrawing

3:27

the Winter Fuel Allowance as a universal

3:29

benefit. We talked a couple of weeks

3:32

ago about Keir Starmer's Downing Street speech

3:34

where he said things can only get

3:36

worse and this atmosphere

3:38

of doom and gloom

3:40

that Labour really seemed

3:42

to be leaning

3:45

into in

3:47

a way that is, I think, detracting from

3:49

some of the things that they've done. So

3:51

even if you take the argument

3:54

that they were handed a terrible inheritance by

3:56

the Conservatives, $20 billion black hole,

3:58

all of that, prisons crisis, NHS

4:01

crisis, public sector pay crisis, all of

4:03

these crises, they're

4:05

trying to do things to fix those. So, you've

4:07

got the Renters Rights Bill that was introduced in

4:10

Parliament this week. You've had the

4:12

pay deals that are theoretically

4:14

meant to mean an end to the

4:16

industrial disputes that have ground the country

4:18

to a halt. The move

4:21

on prisoner of release, which

4:23

is very controversial, but that is sort of intended to

4:25

avert a crisis. They are

4:27

trying to do pragmatic things to make things

4:30

better, but they're not really talking about them

4:32

as we're trying to do them to make

4:34

them better. They're talking about them in the

4:36

context of, we've had to make tough choices.

4:38

I think there's a missed opportunity there. George

4:41

Eden actually touches on this in his

4:43

cover story for The New Statesman this

4:46

week. I know you talked to him

4:48

on the podcast yesterday, but there is

4:50

this idea at the top of Labour

4:52

that the most important thing is projecting

4:54

competence. That competence is what lost the

4:56

Conservatives in the election and that people

4:59

voted for Labour because they trusted that

5:01

Labour could get things done in the

5:03

way that the Conservatives couldn't or weren't.

5:05

So, in that respect, showing that you

5:07

understand that people can't have everything and

5:09

therefore we do need to make serious

5:12

trade-offs, that is part of the messaging.

5:14

It's part of showing that they understand

5:16

the gravity of the situation. But

5:19

it leads to a situation, as this

5:21

questioner points out, where it almost looks

5:23

like being tough for the sake of

5:25

it is the end goal,

5:27

which is not particularly helpful. I think there's

5:29

a risk there, as George

5:32

outlines, that in trying

5:34

not to look weak, Keir Starmer

5:36

and Richard Ruves in particular end

5:39

up looking nasty. Cool. Which

5:42

isn't very helpful either. Just on Keir

5:44

Starmer, making tough choices is

5:46

an ideological choice in and of itself. I

5:48

don't think we should pretend that there's a

5:51

difference between being a pragmatic politician and being

5:53

a politician that's imbued with

5:55

ideology. Him taking away money

5:57

from pensioners is a policy choice because he could

5:59

have got that money from elsewhere. So he will

6:01

try and frame it as a

6:04

purely practical, pragmatic choice

6:06

that we need to do to stabilize the public

6:08

finances when that's just not the case at all.

6:11

Making tough choices, Freddie,

6:13

is Keir Starmer's message.

6:17

He's setting it as political stall. How

6:19

does that compare to, say, Kamala Harris?

6:21

And her slogans are much more positive

6:24

sounding than making tough choices. You

6:26

know, we're not going back. It's

6:28

looking forward, isn't it? It's positive.

6:32

Yes, it is, and that's because she wants to

6:34

draw the contrast with Donald Trump. What

6:36

she's trying to say is that the

6:38

eight-year or 10-year political arc

6:40

of Donald Trump needs

6:43

to end, and she's trying to

6:45

tap into people's weariness around that.

6:47

It is forward-looking, but it's also

6:49

a much more personality base. It's

6:52

much more about Kamala Harris herself. It's

6:54

much more about her relative use compared

6:56

to Donald Trump. It's much more

6:58

about the way that she speaks, the way that

7:00

she can offer hope, the fact that she said

7:02

that she wants to govern for all Americans. This

7:04

is one of the key themes of her

7:07

convention speech and also her performance in

7:10

the debate on Tuesday. So it's

7:12

less policy-focused, essentially, because

7:14

you don't have this constant calculus of

7:16

what the OBR said and is it going to match up.

7:19

Having said that, we've got to remember that in Congress right

7:21

now, they're debating how they're going to fund the government beyond

7:24

the next five weeks. So it is there, but

7:26

it's just not featuring as much in the presidential

7:29

election as it does in the UK. Okay, Freddie,

7:31

I want to stick with the US. Rachel,

7:33

there's a question here from Colin. Do you

7:36

want to put that one to Freddie? Yes.

7:38

Colin wants to know, how is money used

7:40

by a presidential campaign and why does more

7:42

money matter if both sides have

7:45

large amounts of money? Obviously, the funding

7:47

involved in US political

7:49

races makes UK

7:52

political finance stories seem

7:54

quite pathetic, but

7:56

it's quite controversial over there, but should it

7:58

not be? Well, it

8:00

is a lot more. We had about $4 billion

8:03

spent at the NASA election, which was almost

8:05

double the amount that was spent in the

8:07

2015-2016 cycle. So

8:10

it's huge amounts of money. What do

8:12

they do with that? They mostly buy adverts,

8:14

essentially digital adverts, TV adverts. They also hire

8:17

their staffers as they do what any campaign

8:19

would do with it. It's just the scale

8:21

is much larger. Does it

8:23

matter if both sides have it? That's interesting thing. If

8:25

one side has lots of money and the other side

8:27

doesn't, then it matters hugely. If both sides have the

8:29

same amount of money, then obviously they cancel each other

8:31

out. It just means it's going to be a lot

8:34

more adverts. It's interesting you can

8:37

tell the priorities of the campaign

8:39

from where they spend their

8:41

money on adverts. So, for instance, we're getting

8:43

so much money spent by the Kamala Harris

8:45

campaign in Pennsylvania, in Michigan.

8:48

It was interesting, actually, they took out some

8:50

adverts around Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump's hideout

8:53

in Florida of

8:55

that quite famous provocative speech from Barack

8:57

Obama when he spoke about Trump's crowd

8:59

sizes. And he wasn't really talking about

9:02

crowd sizes. So they used that to

9:04

sort of rile up Donald Trump. So

9:06

again, it's a political weapon that they're

9:09

going to use. The other thing that people get upset

9:11

about is the idea that if you've got individuals

9:13

or individual companies donating large amounts to

9:15

one campaign or the other, that might

9:18

influence what those campaigns do or even

9:20

what those politicians do in office. I

9:22

mean, there's a difference, I would say

9:25

this, but between, what

9:27

is it, you know, Swifties for Kamala raising

9:29

$135,000 from

9:32

sort of small donations and the

9:35

CEOs of big companies making sort

9:37

of those donations. Or is

9:39

that something that people get anxious about that

9:41

really they shouldn't? Is there

9:43

a kind of cash-for-influence side of this?

9:46

I think completely that there is, but that's sort of

9:48

accepted in the UK that it's not, even though it

9:50

does happen in the UK. I mean, if we look

9:52

at the conservative party's donors and

9:54

the access that they've been getting to

9:56

Prime Minister's in the past four years,

9:58

it's been quite significant. Lord Crotus and

10:00

others, they always... end up becoming party

10:02

treasurer. That's controversial. When people read about

10:04

that and Ben Elliott and all the

10:06

scandals around the Conservative Party in the

10:09

past few years, they don't

10:11

like it here. It's just much more accepted

10:13

that that's the case. It's much more normal

10:16

or usual for companies to be political,

10:18

to invest. I was speaking to someone

10:20

from Google the other

10:23

day, and they were talking about it as a

10:25

way of an investment. You just do it

10:27

as part of your investment portfolio. You just

10:29

invest in a party and

10:31

hope you get a return, whatever that might be. And

10:33

do they invest in both, Freddie, though? Do they hedge

10:36

the risk? Yeah, when you play with them off. You've

10:38

got to remember that so much of this is down

10:41

ticket as well. So much of it

10:43

is not the presidential candidate. It's also

10:46

the Senate candidate, the governor candidate, the

10:48

representative candidate, even down to DA level.

10:51

You read Kamala Harris's book when she first

10:53

stood as district attorney, which is

10:55

the lead prosecutor in the city. So

10:57

she talks about the fact that she

11:00

needed to raise thousands and thousands of

11:02

dollars just to stand as the DA.

11:04

So it's completely imbued in American politics

11:06

that this is something normal to a

11:08

much greater extent. You couldn't, for instance,

11:10

imagine a counselor holding

11:13

huge fundraising dinner. They

11:16

obviously hold fundraising dinners for Conservative Party associations,

11:18

what have you, but it's a completely different

11:20

scale. It's not as if the fact that

11:22

they want to become a counselor is completely

11:25

dependent on whether they can raise thousands and

11:27

thousands and thousands of pounds. So yeah, but

11:29

we've got to remember that it goes all

11:31

the way down the ticket. The other way

11:34

that money has massively influenced this particular US

11:36

presidential election was really

11:39

in the choice of Kamala Harris

11:41

running as the Democratic nominee because

11:45

arguably there is an argument that

11:47

other Democrats didn't put their names

11:49

forward, in part because Kamala

11:51

Harris was entitled to all of the money

11:53

already raised for the Biden campaign

11:56

because she was on the ticket. And there's something

11:58

about being named on the... ticket means that you

12:00

can access all the funds that have already been

12:03

donated. Where she not to have been and a

12:05

fresh candidate were to come in, it's

12:07

not as straightforward as that person then has

12:09

access to all the money that's already been

12:11

built up in the treasure chest is my

12:14

understanding. I imagine that would have been a

12:16

factor. I think though in that particular really

12:20

bizarre and unusual situation,

12:23

time was probably the key

12:26

factor like finding a finding a way

12:28

to switch a candidate and run

12:30

that race. Although money comes into that as well,

12:32

like if you've had all your primaries already all

12:34

over a country, you don't want to

12:37

have to try and figure out a way to

12:39

redo them or do them on the quick when

12:41

you're deciding in the middle of the summer.

12:45

After the break, how do

12:47

US and British politics compare?

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We'll be back in a couple of minutes. This

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$10 in order. Welcome

13:54

back. Let's kick off with

13:56

another question at this time from Ian and

13:58

he says it seems that US

14:00

politics compared to our politics is

14:03

a lot more crazy and OTT.

14:06

Is this in part because of there

14:08

being only two parties and why are

14:10

there only two options over there? Can

14:12

someone explain? Freddie? Well,

14:15

if you look at this election, third

14:17

party candidates have been excluded

14:20

decisively and intentionally by the

14:22

other two parties, RFK, who

14:26

originally stood for the Democratic primary

14:28

to challenge Joe Biden. The

14:30

one who said that a worm had eaten part

14:33

of his brain and he dumped a dead bear

14:35

cub in Central Park in New York. He did.

14:37

That very same one. He did. He did. He

14:39

did. So he originally stood in a Democratic

14:41

primary and then he lost

14:43

and he came an independent candidate. So what's

14:45

essentially been happening for the past six months

14:48

before he pulled out a few weeks ago

14:50

is that he's been trying to get on the ballot in

14:53

all of the states. And that's proved much

14:55

trickier than you would have thought. You thought if you

14:57

want to stand, maybe there's a

14:59

minimum requirement, but you can do so. Essentially, the

15:01

Democratic party has been filing

15:03

successive lawsuits to try and prevent him

15:05

from doing so. Their argument often has

15:08

been that he's a spoiler. That means

15:10

that the purpose of his candidacy is

15:12

to prevent the Democrats from winning and

15:14

to ensure that Donald Trump would win.

15:17

But I mean, they can make that argument and they can hold

15:19

him up in the courts, which just goes to show how hard

15:22

it is for the third candidates. And

15:24

you saw the same in the in

15:26

the noughties with someone like Ralph Nader,

15:29

for instance. He constantly stood for the Green

15:31

Party, Brother Party, Jill Starnes and other one.

15:33

And they failed to break. It comes down

15:35

to our last question, really, doesn't it, from

15:38

Colin? It's about money as well.

15:40

It's so expensive to run a presidential

15:43

campaign across the entire United States,

15:46

isn't it? Yeah, it is about

15:48

money. I also think it's about the networks as well.

15:50

They're not going to get as much media

15:52

coverage. But it's interesting. Why is it that,

15:54

for instance, you cannot third parties in the

15:56

UK, even if they don't have a really

15:59

realistic chance of becoming the government,

16:01

I think it's largely to do

16:03

down to the parliamentary

16:05

system. If you have, for instance,

16:07

traditional constituencies, like whether it's at

16:10

the Highlands or the Southwest, for

16:13

the Lib Dems, they're going to be able to

16:15

have enough votes in a single constituency to get

16:17

an MP. Whereas in the US, you need a

16:20

realistic chance of getting 270 Electoral

16:22

College votes, which is a much

16:24

higher bar for them to cross.

16:26

So essentially, I think there's the

16:28

both parties, they in the UK have

16:31

a vested interest in maintaining the two-party

16:33

system. And as you say, Hannah, it's

16:35

extremely expensive for third

16:38

parties candidates to stand. And also, they can't get on

16:40

the ballot and also they can't get in the debates.

16:42

It's also about levels

16:44

of government, right? So in

16:47

the UK, you're much more

16:49

likely to see independent

16:51

candidates or candidates of new

16:54

insurgent parties, whether that's the Greens or

16:58

UKIP in the 2010s, start

17:01

to do well by doing well at council

17:03

level. And then if they're doing really well

17:05

at council level, they take on a council

17:07

and then maybe as the Greens have done,

17:09

they target some MP seats

17:11

and then they've got two or three

17:13

or four MPs based on those seats

17:15

at the Lib Dems and you build

17:17

up from there, but you start at

17:19

grassroots level and move up.

17:22

And I'm sure that there

17:24

are independent candidates in

17:26

US elections at a

17:28

much lower down grassroots

17:31

level. I mean, every state does it differently and

17:33

I think every individual cities and towns do it

17:35

differently as well. But I think in those local

17:38

races, whether you're running for the local school board,

17:40

you probably do get independent

17:42

candidates, but it doesn't build

17:45

up geographically in the

17:47

same way that it does in the UK, partly,

17:51

as Freddie said, because it's not a parliamentary

17:53

system. And I imagine it would be really

17:55

difficult to sort of work your way from

17:57

a local independent school board all the way

17:59

through to state. Senate and

18:02

presidential run. Yeah, I

18:04

mean, you do have independent senators, for instance,

18:07

you know, Joe mentioned where the Democratic senator,

18:09

he has become an independent senator, Bernie

18:11

Sanders, for much of his career has been

18:13

an independent senator as well. It's just that

18:16

they don't necessarily form third parties

18:19

where they have that infrastructure, as you say,

18:21

Rachel, at the grassroots level when they can

18:23

galvanize a whole national campaign and turn it

18:26

into a presidential campaign. I think that's the

18:28

key difference. Now, I think one of the

18:30

other differences is that

18:32

both the main parties in the

18:34

US, the Democrats and the Republicans

18:36

and their previous incarnations, they are

18:38

very, very, very broad churches, like

18:40

much more so than our political

18:42

parties. I mean, obviously you will

18:45

have differences of

18:47

opinion in our main parties, but

18:49

not to the extent there's not

18:51

really that kind of the

18:54

same sense of cohesion as you get

18:56

here. But they're much looser coalitions, aren't

18:58

they? Yeah, it's completely right. I mean,

19:01

you had the segregationists in the 60s

19:03

in the Democratic Party, the

19:05

slaveholders were the Democrats. So you have your

19:07

right, you have this very broad coalition, you've

19:10

got the Republican tradition, which includes the sort

19:12

of the small Jeffersonian tradition, you've got the

19:14

Andrew Jackson tradition in the Democrats, all of

19:16

which have sort of come together in a

19:19

slightly more clearly delineated consensus, I think nowadays

19:21

than in the 20th century and the 19th

19:23

century. But you're right, I mean, the history

19:26

isn't as clear. It's not like you have

19:29

a single party set up by the trade

19:31

unions and another one, which has been associated

19:33

with the church and the monarchy, both

19:35

of which over 100 years, you don't

19:38

have that at all. No, and also

19:40

you haven't got those holding positions in

19:42

the party having to be particularly obedient,

19:44

not the right word, but you don't have to be

19:47

particularly loyal either. You know,

19:49

if you're a Republican senator or representative, you

19:52

don't have to be particularly

19:54

loyal to a Republican president. And

19:57

in the US, they have a whip system,

19:59

but it's nowhere near near as strict as

20:01

it is here in the UK. You can

20:03

have your own personal differences without it really

20:05

causing you any difficulty as a politician in

20:08

a way that's not quite the same here. I mean,

20:11

I want to ask a sort of a sub-question to

20:13

Ian's, Rachel, is kind of what the role, I

20:15

mean, what's the benefit perhaps of

20:18

the UK system? I mean, what role

20:20

do third parties have here that the

20:22

United States, you know, they don't get

20:24

that? Well, if you ask Labour and

20:26

the Conservatives at the moment, not a

20:28

massive fan of third parties, both of

20:31

them facing challenges. And

20:33

the Green Party

20:36

and to some extent the Lib Dems

20:38

on the left and Reform on the

20:41

right are causing major problems for both

20:44

Labour and the Conservatives because

20:46

voters have that other option,

20:48

particularly geographically, depends where you

20:50

are. I think

20:52

we've got a really interesting dynamic in

20:54

Parliament at the moment, and it's a

20:56

real shift from Parliament before the election.

20:58

If you take something like PMQs, which

21:01

happens weekly, the leader of

21:03

the opposition gets six questions to put to the

21:05

Prime Minister and that's kind of the main event.

21:08

After that, the leader

21:10

of the third biggest party gets two

21:12

questions. And up until

21:15

the election, that was the SMP. So,

21:17

what you would get inevitably were six

21:19

questions of Labour hammering the Tories and

21:21

then a further two questions, usually,

21:23

let's be honest, still hammering the Tories, but with

21:26

an edge of Scottish independence. Yeah. It's actually like

21:28

if you think about it being a sort of

21:30

national parliament and how many what percentage of votes

21:32

across the UK the SMP got obviously a very

21:34

small amount because they only stood in Scotland. It's

21:37

kind of weird that every week we had a

21:39

focus on Scotland in PMQs. I mean, that's just

21:41

an interesting quirk of our system. Having

21:44

watched the last two PMQs recently,

21:46

you get six questions now of

21:48

the Tories hammering Labour. And then

21:50

you get two questions from Ed Davie of

21:53

the Libdams. And Freddie, I know when you

21:55

spoke to Ed Davie earlier this year, he

21:57

talked to you about how important it was.

22:00

for the Lib Dems to overtake the SNP and

22:02

become third party and to get that status. But

22:04

it really has changed the dynamic because the Lib

22:06

Dems are walking this slightly

22:08

strange line where they won

22:10

most of their seats by

22:12

challenging conservatives and by being

22:14

the not Tory candidate in

22:16

seats where people weren't going

22:19

to back Labour. So they

22:21

don't want to be too

22:23

cozying up to the conservatives, but they also

22:26

do want to challenge Labour. They don't want

22:28

to be seen as just waving

22:30

through everything that Labour does. It was interesting

22:32

this week when obviously the focus was the

22:34

Winter Fuel Allowance, Ed Davie

22:37

being critical of the move and

22:39

talking about the effect it would

22:41

have on low income pensioners and

22:43

pensioners with disabilities and all of

22:45

that. But he started off his

22:47

question by going, obviously I completely

22:49

understand that this government has to

22:51

make very tough choices because of

22:53

the disastrous situation that the conservatives

22:56

left us in. So it's a

22:58

really interesting dynamic. I'm curious

23:00

as to how long

23:02

that will hold the

23:04

Lib Dems not giving Labour a free pass

23:07

because they're not doing that, but making

23:09

it really clear that if they had to

23:11

pick a side, they'd be on Labour's side

23:13

rather than conservatives because that could change and

23:15

that would again upend the dynamic. And obviously

23:17

the SNP don't get their two

23:19

questions each week. That's really interesting. So the

23:22

role of the third party really

23:24

changes the flavour of parliamentary democracy. Yeah,

23:26

it totally does. PMQs is

23:29

the most visible and dramatic example of

23:31

that, but that's true when it comes to who

23:33

gets to ask questions and speak in debates because

23:35

it's based on how many MPs the different parties

23:37

have. You're going to see it on the select

23:40

committees, the makeup

23:42

of who the

23:44

MPs are and which party

23:46

they're from and the fact that the

23:48

Lib Dems are not that far behind

23:51

the conservatives in terms of numbers completely

23:53

upended the rhythm,

23:56

the dynamics of parliament. Rachel, can I

23:58

ask what you think about how the... Lib

24:00

Dems are going to use their sizable

24:02

parliamentary cohort. Are they putting it

24:04

to good effect? What do

24:06

you think? It's really interesting. It's sort of too early to

24:09

say, but you are

24:11

already seeing on the

24:13

Winter Fuel Alliance the Lib Dems, the Greens,

24:16

left-wing Labour MPs, Tories and Reform all sort

24:18

of ganging up on the Labour government over

24:20

this. We've got the Lib Dems conference in

24:22

Brighton next week, which I will be going

24:25

to, which is my first time

24:27

doing that. I've been told that as volumes

24:29

go, it's one of the most cheerful, happier

24:31

political conferences. So, if you're going, say hi.

24:33

But it's clear from the agenda what are

24:36

the issues that they are particularly going to

24:38

focus on. So, it's kind of what you'd

24:40

expect. They've got a motion on protecting

24:43

the NHS, their plan to save the NHS.

24:45

They've got a motion on cleaning up Britain's

24:47

water. We know that water and sewage in

24:49

the environment was a key issue. Also, there's

24:51

a motion on unpaid

24:53

carers and the care system in general,

24:55

which is something that we talked a

24:57

lot about at Davey, kind of using

24:59

the election campaign to really draw attention

25:01

to that. So, I think there's a

25:04

potential there for the Lib

25:07

Dems to focus on specific

25:09

policy issues that they really

25:11

care about and challenge on

25:13

that. Speaking

25:16

to a Lib Dems MP and sort

25:18

of joking that the job of an

25:21

opposition is to be the government in

25:23

waiting. Can we really expect the Lib

25:25

Dems to be the government

25:27

in waiting? Well, the Conservatives aren't

25:30

a government in waiting at the moment. So,

25:32

maybe it depends how long it takes the

25:34

Conservatives to recover. Are you going to see

25:36

a bit more pushback from the Lib Dems

25:38

or are they really scarred from the last

25:40

time they entered into government when it did

25:42

not go well? So, I think probably a

25:44

focus on issue by issue, but

25:47

it also depends a bit on how

25:50

badly Labour disappoints the

25:52

nation really early on

25:54

as to the

25:56

level of challenge that you might see. Well, that's your

25:59

full note.

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